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2010-03-02

FMC Wins TOTAL Subsea Deal

Oil drilling equipment maker FMC Technologies Inc. (FTI: 56.89 0.00 0.00%) announced the receipt of a $65 million contract from French oil major Total SA (TOT: 55.96 0.00 0.00%). The deal calls for FMC Technologies to design and provide subsea production systems to Total-operated Block 17 development, located offshore Angola. 

FMC Technologies said that the contract includes the manufacture of subsea trees, controls and associated equipment. The company expects delivery to begin in the first quarter of 2011. The order is part of FMC Technologies’ strong and longstanding relationship with Total and will be supported by its facilities at Dunfermline, Scotland; Kongsberg, Norway; and Luanda, Angola.
 
Total E&P Angola (a wholly owned subsidiary of Total) holds a 40% operated interest in the Block 17 development, deep offshore Angola. FMC Technologies has supported a number of projects in Total’s Block 17 development (including Girassol, Rosa and Pazflor). 

FMC Technologies recently posted better-than-expected fourth quarter results despite pricing pressure and reduced order flow. A healthy backlog of $2.5 billion, coupled with growing international operations and the still favorable outlook for deepwater offshore markets should help the company weather the current downturn better than most of its peers.
 
Incorporated in 2000, Houston, Texas-based FMC Technologies is a leading manufacturer and supplier of technology solutions for the energy industry. The company, which operates 19 manufacturing facilities in 14 countries, is engaged in the designing, producing and servicing technologically sophisticated systems and products such as subsea production and processing systems, surface wellhead production systems, high pressure fluid control equipment, measurement solutions and marine loading systems for the oil and gas industry.

 

Note To Congress: America’s Energy Solution Is Right Here

Friday, February 26, 2010: Issue #1205

A round of applause for the U.S. Congress.

In just one month, the bumbling bureaucrats have managed an impressive feat: From a 61% rating last month, voter unhappiness has now hit a record-high 71%, according to Rasmussen Reports.

That probably isn’t surprising to the majority of Americans. Most view Congress as inept, driven by the belief that politicians’ main goal is just to get re-elected. To wit: The Center for Responsive Politics says the 2010 battle for Congressional seats will cost $3.7 billion. Not exactly what our forefathers had in mind.

If only our politicians could actually accomplish something meaningful.

The 19-state Western Governors’ Association (WGA) shares that frustration. It penned a letter to Congress on February 11, in which it urges politicians to pass significant energy legislation.

And it has one energy resource in mind…

Natural Gas: America’s Domestic Energy Solution?

Here’s the last paragraph of WGA’s letter to Congress:

The use of natural gas as a transportation fuel is a domestic solution to a variety of critical issues. Ninety-eight percent of the natural gas we consume is produced right here in North America. Additionally, natural gas is a cleaner, more affordable fuel for Americans. Natural gas produces approximately 25% fewer greenhouse gas emissions and significantly fewer criteria air pollutants, and fueling natural gas-powered vehicles (NGVs) costs a third less than traditional gasoline. Incentivizing the further build-out of NGV technologies will stop billions of dollars in overseas oil payments, create thousands of jobs, reduce harmful greenhouse gas and criteria air pollutant emissions, and improve the overall health of the United States’ economy.”

Job creation, reducing our dependence on foreign oil, improving America’s balance sheet. What’s not to like?

In a capitalist society and the race for profits… plenty.

America Shoots… And Hits Itself In the Foot

Forget global warming, or greenhouse emissions. America is fighting another battle. Against itself.

While natural gas seems like a slam-dunk idea, the coal industry views it as a huge threat. And with “big coal” profits hinging on whatever legislation is passed, Congressional members from the big coal-producing states are looking after their best interests.

So what should be no-brainer legislation has turned into a messy pot-pourri of environment, business, science – and of course, politics.

Aubrey McClendon, CEO of major natural gas producer Chesapeake Energy Corporation (CHK: 26.68 0.00 0.00%) states: Never in my life have I been confronted with something so obviously easy and good to do and have such Congressional apathy.”

However, just replacing coal with natural gas isn’t necessarily the answer either.

David Hawkins, a climate change expert at the Natural Resources Defense Council says: “A coal plant with carbon capture and storage is a cleaner plant than an uncontrolled natural gas plant.”

True. But carbon capture is still in the experimental stages, and its long-term viability is still in question.

So where to from here?

All parties should be able to agree on this: Cars burning American-produced natural gas are better than burning foreign oil. And switching to natural gas gives scientists time to test the commercial viability of carbon capture.

Especially since we’ve got so much of the darn stuff…

America Has the World’s Biggest Natural Gas Reserves – And This Firm Is Leading the Way

It would be a real shame to cave in to the coal and oil lobbies and under-use the greatest natural gas resource on the planet, right here in America. We’ve got 100 years worth of supplies.

Designing cars that run on natural gas costs no more than designing them to run on gasoline. And consumers would notice a difference in their bank accounts, too, since fueling up with natural gas costs about a third of the price for gasoline.

The good news is that Congress will eventually reach a compromise (probably later this year) with both coal and natural gas interests and pass some form of legislation.

When it comes to the natural gas industry, there are several major publicly traded companies. One is the afore-mentioned Chesapeake Energy, but another firm with a big role is Clean Energy Fuels Corporation (CLNE: 18.45 0.00 0.00%).

Right now, it’s primarily focused on its fleet of 300-plus customers, which operate around 15,000 natural gas vehicles in the service sector. That includes public transportation such as airport transit, seaports and taxis. Clean Energy also supplies fuel for the trucking and trash haulage industries.

But when natural gas legislation is passed, the firm’s reach will likely multiply. It’s already a natural gas supplier and operates around 200 fuel stations. It’s a virtual lock to be at the forefront of the fuel station build-out on a wider scale.

Mammoth energy sector players like Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM: 65.40 0.00 0.00%) and Chevron Corporation (CVN: 0.00 N/A N/A) are also likely to participate – firms that have the money to upgrade their existing fuel stations to accommodate natural gas vehicles, too.

The key to progress, though, will be Congress. If politicians can actually pass meaningful natural gas legislation, it will bode well for firms like Clean Energy.

Good investing,

Dave Fessler

P.S. Given the constant quest for re-election in Congress, it’s no wonder that the legislative process is slow. However, there are two bills currently circulating the chambers:

  • H.R. 1835: Introduced last April by the House, it proposes generous tax incentives to both manufacturers and buyers of natural gas vehicles. These credits last up to 10 years. The bill also provides huge tax credits to companies that install natural gas fuel stations – up to $100,000 per station.
  • S.1408: This Senate bill is similar to that of HR 1835, but is a little friendlier to natural gas – at least as a transitional fuel to alternative energy.

To keep up with all the latest developments in the energy and infrastructure sectors, check out my “Hot Stacked” column in The Oxford Club’s Communiqué. Each month, I report on the most important trends and companies best-placed to profit from crucial projects. Find out more about how to become an Oxford Club member.

 

Garmin Sees Weaker 2010 Margins

Garmin Ltd. (GRMN: 32.47 0.00 0.00%) reported fourth quarter earnings that beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 47 cents.

Revenue

Revenue of $1.06 billion was up 35.6% sequentially and 1.1% year over year. This was the first year-over-year increase in five quarters. Volumes were up a whopping 71.2%, driven by seasonality, although the ASP declined 20.8%, mainly due to pricing pressures in Garmin’s core PND product family. The ASP also declined 3.2% from the year-ago quarter, but this was offset by a 4.4% increase in volumes.

Strength was broad-based across geographies, although North America witnessed the strongest growth. North America contributed 73% of quarterly revenue (up 52.7% sequentially), Europe 23% (up 3.8%), while Asia accounted for the balance (up 9.8%).

Revenue by Segment

The Auto/Mobile, Outdoor/Fitness, Aviation and Marine segments generated 77%, 14%, 6% and 3% of fourth quarter revenue, respectively.

The Auto/Mobile segment was up 48.8% sequentially but down 1.9% year over year. The sequential increase was driven by seasonality and was across all geographies. Management stated that PND market share was stable during the quarter, with North America share at around 60% and Europe at around 20%. The year-over-year decline was driven by a 6% decline in ASP, partially offset by a 3% increase in volumes.

The Outdoor/Fitness segment was up 12.5% sequentially and 24.4% year over year. This segment has picked up faster than the others, with the third straight quarter of double-digit sequential growth and the second straight quarter of double-digit year-over-year growth. New products and changes in consumer behavior have been driving this strength. Additionally, the company also enjoyed positive seasonality in the fourth quarter.

The Aviation segment revenue was up 11.4% sequentially but down 4.1% year over year. The weakness was due to lower spending, although retrofit spending fared better than OEM and portable.

The Marine segment was down 25.1% sequentially, but up 2.3% year over year. The sequential decline is in line with normal seasonality. The increase from the year-ago period was due to strength in new products.

Margins

Gross margin for the quarter was 45.9%, down 650 basis points (bps) sequentially and 88 bps year over year. The sequential decline in the gross margin was due to mix of business, which favored the lower-margin auto/mobile segment. The decline from the year-ago period was due to the pricing pressures in the PND business.

The Auto/Mobile segment gross margin was down 904 bps sequentially. The other three segments, which generate significantly higher gross margins, saw margin expansions of 608 bps, 20 bps and 1,135 bps, respectively, in the last quarter.

The operating expenses of $194.7 million were up 12.7% from the previous quarter’s $172.9 million. However, the operating margin declined 276 bps to 27.6%, compared to 30.3% in the third quarter. The lower operating margin was entirely on account of the weaker gross margin and partially offset by lower SG&A, advertising and R&D expenses, as a percentage of sales.

Net Profit

On a pro forma basis, Garmin had a net income of $286.1 million, or a 27.0% net income margin compared to $203.4 million, or 26.0% in the previous quarter and $197.8 million or 18.9% net income margin in the fourth quarter of last year. Our pro forma estimate excludes foreign currency and investment gains/charges in the last quarter.

On a GAAP basis, the company recorded a net profit of $278.4 million ($1.38 per share) compared to $215.1 million ($1.07 per share) in the previous quarter and a net profit of $157.7 million ($0.78 per share) in the prior-year quarter.

Balance Sheet

Inventories were down 17.0% sequentially, with inventory going from 4.0X to 7.4X. Days sales outstanding (DSOs) were around 75 days, down from 75 days in the Sept. quarter. The cash and short-term investments balance increased $81.8 million to around $1.09 billion, with the company generating $245 million from operations.

Garmin spent around $14 million on capex, yielding a free cash flow of around $232 million. Garmin has no long-term debt, and long-term liabilities totaled $306 million at quarter-end.

Guidance

Management did not provide guidance for the next quarter, but it did provide guidance for fiscal 2010. Accordingly, revenue is expected to be around $2.9-$3.1 billion, gross margin of around 46-48%, operating income of $675-$725 million, yielding an operating margin of 23-24%. Additionally, the effective tax rate is expected to increase in 2010, yielding a pro forma earnings per share of $2.75 to $3.15.

The Auto/Mobile segment is expected to see a revenue growth of -5% to 5% and margin decline of 200-300 bps. The revenue growth will be driven by mobile and OEM penetration, while PND revenues will be flat. Outdoor/Fitness, Aviation and Marine are expected to see revenue increases of 5-10% each.

 

Textron Gets Marine Contract

Textron Marine & Land Systems, an operating unit of Textron Systems, a Textron Inc. (TXT: 20.21 0.00 0.00%) company, and Granite Tactical Vehicles Inc., has won a contract to deliver three upgraded High Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicles (HMMWVs) to the U.S. Marine Corps Warfighting Lab for testing. 

The three upgraded HMMWVs are scheduled for delivery in Mar 2010 for mobility, thermal and durability performance testing. Textron Marine & Land Systems and Granite Tactical Vehicles have teamed up to develop affordable, lightweight, crew survivability solutions for light tactical vehicles. 

Granite’s innovations in survivable and mobile light armored vehicles are being combined with Textron Marine & Land Systems’ engineering and lean process manufacturing expertise to provide a valuable near-term solution for warfighters. 

Textron Marine & Land Systems has been manufacturing the Armored Security Vehicle (ASV) for the U.S. Army since 2004, and has delivered over 2,400 units. The ASV has maintained exceptional operational readiness and combat availability rates as these vehicles log more than 30,000 miles per year in Iraq and Afghanistan. 

Textron Systems provides unmanned aircraft systems, advanced marine craft, armored vehicles, intelligent battlefield and surveillance systems, intelligence software solutions, precision smart weapons, piston engines, test and training systems, and total life cycle sustenance services. Other operating units of Textron Systems are AAI Corporation, Lycoming Engines, Textron Defense Systems and Textron Marine & Land Systems. 

Textron Inc. has a global network of aircraft, defense, industrial and finance businesses that provide customers with innovative solutions and services. Textron is known around the world for its powerful brands such as Bell Helicopter, Cessna Aircraft Company, Jacobsen, Kautex, Lycoming, E-Z-GO, Greenlee, and Textron Systems. 

Textron’s future success in the competitive defense industry depends upon its ability to develop and market its defense-related products and services to the U.S. Government, as well as its ability to provide people, technologies, facilities, equipment and financial capacity needed to deliver those products and services at maximum efficiency. The company competes with Tyco International Ltd. (TYC: 36.74 0.00 0.00%), Danaher Corp. (DHR: 75.35 0.00 0.00%), and ITT Corp. (ITT: 51.89 0.00 0.00%).

 

2010-02-26

Allscripts Remains At Neutral

We recently reiterated our Neutral rating on Allscripts-Misys Healthcare Solutions, Inc. (MDRX: 17.91 0.00 0.00%) with a target price of $18.50 based on a P/E multiple of roughly 32.5x our fiscal 2010 EPS estimate of 57 cents. 

Allscripts reported second quarter fiscal 2010 earnings per share of 14 cents, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 13 cents and the year-ago earnings of 14 cents. 

Total revenues in the second quarter increased 31.6% year over year to $169.3 million. Non-GAAP revenues in the reported quarter increased 4.5% year over year to $170.7 million. Non-GAAP revenues in the second quarter of fiscal 2010 included a deferred revenue adjustment. 

Non-GAAP revenues in the second quarter of fiscal 2009 included the standalone Allscripts’ revenue pre-merger, a deferred revenue adjustment and elimination of prepackaged medications revenue that the company disposed off in Mar 2009. 

Growth was registered across all business segments. Maintenance sales increased 31.3% year over year to $61.3 million. Transaction processing and other revenues increased 25.8% year over year to $56.1 million. System sales increased 61.5% year over year to $33.6 million. Professional services revenues increased 55.1% year over year to $18.3 million. 

Libertyville, IL-based Allscripts Healthcare Solutions Inc. is a leading provider of clinical software and information solutions meant for physicians. In Oct 2008, the company merged with Misys Plc, a global applications software and services company, to form Allscripts−Misys Healthcare Solutions. 

Allscripts faces strong competition from Cerner Corp. (CERN: 82.33 0.00 0.00%), Merge Healthcare Inc. (MRGE: 2.25 0.00 0.00%), Quality Systems Inc. (QSII: 57.24 0.00 0.00%) and MedAssets Inc. (MDAS: 21.50 0.00 0.00%).